Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Cincinnati v Pachuca

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 23:45 UTC

Score final : FC Cincinnati 3–1 Pachuca

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Prévision 42.34%2.36cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.67%42.62%42.34%45.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.132.102.3050.00%47.05%47.62%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pachuca (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.38%3.09cote équitable
EV +0.705%
Avantage +0.227%
Kelly +0.334%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.51%32.26%32.39%33.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.933.003.1136.36%34.14%33.33%32.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.28%3.96cote équitable
EV +1.13%
Avantage +0.283%
Kelly +0.378%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.60%25.13%25.27%26.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.763.874.0030.30%26.62%25.84%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Cincinnati (Local) : 42.34% ; Pachuca (Visiteur) : 32.38% ; Match nul : 25.28%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.96. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +1.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.13%E +0.283%K +0.378%G +0.004%4.5%2026-08-04 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +1.13%E +0.283%K +0.378%G +0.004%6.0%2026-08-04 23:35
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.15%EV -12.79%E -6.21%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 23:35
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.97%EV -10.67%E -5.06%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.51%EV +0.705%E +0.227%K +0.334%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -2.15%E -0.556%K -0.750%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:30
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -13.21%E -6.44%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 23:29
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -15.33%E -7.66%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 23:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 23:40
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 23:40
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:40
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.98%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 23:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-04 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-08-04 23:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-08-04 23:40