Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Cincinnati v Pachuca

Início: 2026-08-04 23:45 UTC

Final: FC Cincinnati 3–1 Pachuca

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Previsão 42.34%2.36odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -2.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.67%42.62%42.34%45.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.132.102.3050.00%47.05%47.62%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pachuca (Visitante)

Previsão 32.38%3.09odd justa
EV +0.705%
Vantagem +0.227%
Kelly +0.334%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.51%32.26%32.39%33.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.933.003.1136.36%34.14%33.33%32.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.28%3.96odd justa
EV +1.13%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.378%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.60%25.13%25.27%26.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.763.874.0030.30%26.62%25.84%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Cincinnati (Local): 42.34%; Pachuca (Visitante): 32.38%; Empate: 25.28%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.96. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV +1.13%E +0.283%K +0.378%G +0.004%4.5%2026-08-04 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV +1.13%E +0.283%K +0.378%G +0.004%6.0%2026-08-04 23:35
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -11.94%E -5.74%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 23:34
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.15%EV -12.79%E -6.21%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.00%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -1.40%E -0.358%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 23:35
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.97%EV -10.67%E -5.06%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.51%EV +0.705%E +0.227%K +0.334%G +0.002%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.52%EV -2.15%E -0.556%K -0.750%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:40
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.86%EV -2.63%E -1.14%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.74%EV -4.80%E -1.63%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV -4.18%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:30
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -13.21%E -6.44%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -4.48%E -1.52%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -5.19%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 23:29
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -15.33%E -7.66%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -6.74%E -2.34%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -6.45%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 23:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 23:40
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.25%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -7.71%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -7.72%E -2.11%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-04 23:40
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.74%E -2.11%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -2.86%E -0.952%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 23:40
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.86%E -3.12%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.10%E -2.10%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:40
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.98%E -4.18%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.33%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.98%E -2.49%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 23:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -11.51%E -3.29%K -4.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-04 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:39
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.09%E -5.28%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -10.95%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -16.57%E -5.02%K -7.20%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-04 23:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-08-04 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-08-04 23:40
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-08-04 23:40