Language:English
FC Cincinnati v Atlas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati (Local)
Prediction 65.99%1.52fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.58%66.04%66.04%69.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.411.4873.53%71.18%70.92%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlas (Visit)
Prediction 14.73%6.79fair odd
EV +17.87%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +2.55%
Growth +0.456%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.79%14.63%14.81%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.306.408.0018.52%15.86%15.63%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.28%5.19fair odd
EV +1.98%
Edge +0.374%
Kelly +0.461%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.00%19.33%19.15%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.824.905.2922.73%20.73%20.41%18.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Cincinnati (Local): 65.99%; Atlas (Visit): 14.73%; Draw: 19.28%. For Atlas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +17.87%E +2.23%K +2.55%G +0.456% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-11 23:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 7.02I 14.25%NM 13.46%EV +3.43%E +0.488%K +0.569%G +0.020% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.91%EV -12.87%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +3.13%E +0.448%K +0.522%G +0.016% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV +1.21%E +0.230%K +0.284%G +0.003% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +3.13%E +0.448%K +0.522%G +0.016% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-11 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.64%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.32%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 6.37I 15.70%NM 14.95%EV -6.15%E -0.965%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.00%EV +1.98%E +0.374%K +0.461%G +0.009% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -10.13%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -10.13%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.34%E -1.58%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -8.27%E -5.95%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-11 23:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-11 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.32%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-11 23:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-11 23:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.92%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -18.97%E -3.45%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -18.97%E -3.45%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-11 23:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.64%EV -8.27%E -5.95%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -20.44%E -3.79%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-11 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.47% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37% | 0.8% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.5% | 2026-08-11 23:55 |