Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Cincinnati v Atlas

Início: 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC

Final: FC Cincinnati 1–2 Atlas

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Previsão 65.99%1.52odd justa
EV -2.34%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -4.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.58%66.04%66.04%69.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.361.401.411.4873.53%71.18%70.92%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlas (Visitante)

Previsão 14.73%6.79odd justa
EV +17.87%
Vantagem +2.23%
Kelly +2.55%
Crescimento +0.456%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.79%14.63%14.81%16.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.406.306.408.0018.52%15.86%15.63%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.28%5.19odd justa
EV +1.98%
Vantagem +0.374%
Kelly +0.461%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.00%19.33%19.15%20.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.404.824.905.2922.73%20.73%20.41%18.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Cincinnati (Local): 65.99%; Atlas (Visitante): 14.73%; Empate: 19.28%. Para Atlas (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.79. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +17.87%.

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +17.87%E +2.23%K +2.55%G +0.456%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:18
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.46%EV +3.43%E +0.488%K +0.569%G +0.020%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.91%EV -12.87%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +3.13%E +0.448%K +0.522%G +0.016%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV +1.21%E +0.230%K +0.284%G +0.003%4.8%2026-08-11 23:39
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +3.13%E +0.448%K +0.522%G +0.016%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.64%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.32%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:50
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.95%EV -6.15%E -0.965%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.00%EV +1.98%E +0.374%K +0.461%G +0.009%5.0%2026-08-11 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -10.13%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:50
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -10.13%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:50
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.34%E -1.58%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:48
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:50
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -8.27%E -5.95%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 23:48
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-11 23:49
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.32%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-11 23:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.92%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -18.97%E -3.45%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-11 23:49
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -18.97%E -3.45%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-11 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.64%EV -8.27%E -5.95%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -20.44%E -3.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-11 23:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-11 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-08-11 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-08-11 23:55
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-08-11 23:55