Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Cincinnati v Atlas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 00:00 UTC

Score final : FC Cincinnati 1–2 Atlas

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Prévision 65.99%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -4.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.58%66.04%66.04%69.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.411.4873.53%71.18%70.92%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlas (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.73%6.79cote équitable
EV +17.87%
Avantage +2.23%
Kelly +2.55%
Croissance +0.456%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.79%14.63%14.81%16.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.406.306.408.0018.52%15.86%15.63%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.28%5.19cote équitable
EV +1.98%
Avantage +0.374%
Kelly +0.461%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.00%19.33%19.15%20.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.824.905.2922.73%20.73%20.41%18.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Cincinnati (Local) : 65.99% ; Atlas (Visiteur) : 14.73% ; Match nul : 19.28%. Pour Atlas (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.79. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +17.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +17.87%E +2.23%K +2.55%G +0.456%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-11 23:18
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.46%EV +3.43%E +0.488%K +0.569%G +0.020%4.52I 22.12%NM 20.91%EV -12.87%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.64%EV +3.13%E +0.448%K +0.522%G +0.016%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV +1.21%E +0.230%K +0.284%G +0.003%4.8%2026-08-11 23:39
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +3.13%E +0.448%K +0.522%G +0.016%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -4.98%E -3.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-11 23:35
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.64%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.23%E -0.651%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -11.32%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:50
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.31%EV -6.96%E -4.93%K -16.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.61%EV -5.71%E -0.892%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 23:49
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -6.30%E -4.43%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.37I 15.70%NM 14.95%EV -6.15%E -0.965%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.00%EV +1.98%E +0.374%K +0.461%G +0.009%5.0%2026-08-11 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -10.13%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:50
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -10.13%E -1.66%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-11 23:50
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -2.34%E -1.58%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:48
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-11 23:50
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.64%E -3.94%K -13.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-11 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -8.27%E -5.95%K -21.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-11 23:48
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -3.61%E -0.723%K -0.903%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-11 23:49
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.43%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-11 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.32%E -2.46%K -3.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-11 23:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.25%E -7.54%K -28.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.60%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.25%E -2.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-11 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.92%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -18.97%E -3.45%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -5.54%E -1.13%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-11 23:49
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.62%E -5.44%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -18.97%E -3.45%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.18%E -3.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-11 23:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.64%EV -8.27%E -5.95%K -21.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -20.44%E -3.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -7.47%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-11 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.47%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-08-11 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-08-11 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-08-11 23:55
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-08-11 23:55