Language:English
Chicago Fire v Santos Laguna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Fire (Local)
Prediction 61.99%1.61fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.26%61.95%62.01%64.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.491.491.5769.93%67.22%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Santos Laguna (Visit)
Prediction 17.59%5.69fair odd
EV +8.34%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.135%
assuming max odds 6.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.43%17.59%17.53%19.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.315.406.1621.05%18.83%18.52%16.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.43%4.90fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.426%
Kelly +0.532%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.46%20.47%22.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.564.655.0025.00%21.94%21.51%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Fire (Local): 61.99%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 17.59%; Draw: 20.43%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.81%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 6.16I 16.23%NM 15.43%EV +8.34%E +1.35%K +1.62%G +0.135% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -6.45%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.13%E +0.196%K +0.237%G +0.003% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.62%EV +0.776%E +0.135%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.62%EV +0.776%E +0.135%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -11.36%E -7.94%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -1.96%E -0.408%K -0.515%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +2.13%E +0.426%K +0.532%G +0.011% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 23:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -14.21%E -3.38%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 23:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 23:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.94%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.65%EV -4.68%E -0.863%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.40%EV -8.70%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-09 23:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -8.88%E -6.04%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -9.11%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 23:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.13%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-09 23:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.40%EV -9.50%E -6.51%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-09 23:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -16.46%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.40% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.22% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 23:55 |