Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Fire v Santos Laguna

2026-08-10 00:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prediction 60.19%1.66fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -7.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.97%60.02%60.17%61.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.531.531.5967.11%65.20%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visit)

Prediction 18.34%5.45fair odd
EV +0.872%
Edge +0.159%
Kelly +0.194%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.14%18.30%18.40%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.985.005.5021.74%20.08%20.00%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.47%4.66fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -0.961%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%21.68%21.43%23.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.214.284.5025.64%23.75%23.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Fire (Local): 60.19%; Santos Laguna (Visit): 18.34%; Draw: 21.47%. For Santos Laguna (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.872%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV +0.872%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -3.36%E -0.748%K -0.961%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:44
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV +0.872%E +0.159%K +0.194%G +0.002%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 12:42
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.51%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 11:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 11:29
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 12:55
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -3.71%E -0.707%K -0.874%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 12:54
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.16%EV -5.55%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -6.59%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.16%EV -5.55%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -6.59%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 11:49
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.41%EV -6.10%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -4.44%E -0.997%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 12:45
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.98%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -6.46%E -1.27%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -3.36%E -0.748%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 13:09
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.32%EV -6.83%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -6.11%E -3.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 12:05
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -5.51%E -3.51%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.30%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 12:04
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.95%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -10.13%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:10
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.80%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -10.13%E -2.07%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -8.73%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 13:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.19%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 11:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.97%E -2.49%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 12:44
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.37%EV -6.71%E -4.33%K -12.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.72%E -6.48%K -19.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.88%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -7.02%E -1.62%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.57%EV -10.32%E -6.93%K -21.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -9.81%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 11:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.25%E -4.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:34
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.25%E -4.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.25%E -4.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -7.92%E -5.17%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -15.63%E -3.40%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -16.25%E -4.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.2%2026-08-08 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.2%2026-08-08 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.81%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.81%2.2%2026-08-08 13:10
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 60.33%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%3.6%2026-08-08 12:55