Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Fire v Santos Laguna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC

Score final : Chicago Fire 3–1 Santos Laguna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prévision 61.99%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -4.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.26%61.95%62.01%64.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.491.491.5769.93%67.22%67.11%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Santos Laguna (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.59%5.69cote équitable
EV +8.34%
Avantage +1.35%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.135%

avec la cote maximale 6.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.43%17.59%17.53%19.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.755.315.406.1621.05%18.83%18.52%16.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.43%4.90cote équitable
EV +2.13%
Avantage +0.426%
Kelly +0.532%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%20.46%20.47%22.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.564.655.0025.00%21.94%21.51%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Fire (Local) : 61.99% ; Santos Laguna (Visiteur) : 17.59% ; Match nul : 20.43%. Pour Santos Laguna (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.69. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.16, soit une espérance positive de +8.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.81%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.43%EV +8.34%E +1.35%K +1.62%G +0.135%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -6.45%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.13%E +0.196%K +0.237%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.62%EV +0.776%E +0.135%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.62%EV +0.776%E +0.135%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -11.36%E -7.94%K -26.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -1.96%E -0.408%K -0.515%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +2.13%E +0.426%K +0.532%G +0.011%4.8%2026-08-09 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 23:54
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -14.21%E -3.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 23:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 23:54
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.94%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.65%EV -4.68%E -0.863%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.40%EV -8.70%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 23:49
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -8.88%E -6.04%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -9.11%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.13%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.40%EV -9.50%E -6.51%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 23:43
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 23:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 23:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -16.46%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.40%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%0.8%2026-08-09 23:55
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 23:55