Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Fire v Santos Laguna

Início: 2026-08-10 00:00 UTC

Final: Chicago Fire 3–1 Santos Laguna

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Chicago Fire (Local)

Previsão 61.99%1.61odd justa
EV -2.68%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -4.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.26%61.95%62.01%64.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.491.491.5769.93%67.22%67.11%63.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Santos Laguna (Visitante)

Previsão 17.59%5.69odd justa
EV +8.34%
Vantagem +1.35%
Kelly +1.62%
Crescimento +0.135%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.43%17.59%17.53%19.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.755.315.406.1621.05%18.83%18.52%16.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.43%4.90odd justa
EV +2.13%
Vantagem +0.426%
Kelly +0.532%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.08%20.46%20.47%22.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.564.655.0025.00%21.94%21.51%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Chicago Fire (Local): 61.99%; Santos Laguna (Visitante): 17.59%; Empate: 20.43%. Para Santos Laguna (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.69. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.16, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.81%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.43%EV +8.34%E +1.35%K +1.62%G +0.135%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -6.45%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.13%E +0.196%K +0.237%G +0.003%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 23:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.62%EV +0.776%E +0.135%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 23:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.67%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.62%EV +0.776%E +0.135%K +0.164%G +0.001%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.38%EV -11.36%E -7.94%K -26.42%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.328%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -1.96%E -0.408%K -0.515%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 23:55
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV +2.13%E +0.426%K +0.532%G +0.011%4.8%2026-08-09 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 23:54
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -3.30%E -2.12%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -14.21%E -3.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 23:44
Dabble (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.20%EV -5.78%E -3.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -13.19%E -3.10%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 23:45
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -3.27%E -0.594%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 23:54
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.94%EV -2.68%E -1.71%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.65%EV -4.68%E -0.863%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.40%EV -8.70%E -1.95%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.78%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 23:55
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.26%E -5.58%K -17.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -5.03%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 23:45
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -7.64%E -5.13%K -15.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.63%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -2.98%E -0.627%K -0.794%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 23:45
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.56%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.16%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 23:49
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.00%EV -8.88%E -6.04%K -18.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -8.55%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.48%EV -9.11%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 23:55
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -4.54%E -2.95%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.66%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 23:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 23:55
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.16%E -3.37%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.13%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-09 23:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.40%EV -9.50%E -6.51%K -20.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -4.00%E -0.851%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 23:43
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -8.08%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 23:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.74%E -7.46%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -12.06%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 23:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -10.12%E -6.98%K -22.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -6.04%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 23:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -18.30%E -4.57%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 20:14
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.02%E -4.68%K -14.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -16.46%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -11.56%E -2.67%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 23:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.40%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%0.8%2026-08-09 23:55
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.22%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-08-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.16%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.47%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.37%1.2%2026-08-09 23:55