Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Fire v Necaxa

2026-08-07 00:30 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Fire (Local)

Prediction 50.43%1.98fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.16%50.27%50.06%51.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.841.831.9055.87%54.37%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Necaxa (Visit)

Prediction 24.95%4.01fair odd
EV -0.194%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.065%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.74%24.90%25.30%25.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.704.0029.41%27.33%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.62%4.06fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.35%24.82%24.64%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.703.9029.41%27.44%27.03%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Fire (Local): 50.43%; Necaxa (Visit): 24.95%; Draw: 24.62%. For Necaxa (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.00, with an expected value of -0.194%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.20%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -6.43%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.23%E -1.36%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:35
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 16:34
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -5.69%E -3.04%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.92%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 16:35
Dabble (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.62%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.43%E -1.72%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.84%E -3.95%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 16:35
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.64%EV -7.21%E -3.92%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.71%EV -5.93%E -1.57%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.65%EV -6.95%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 19:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -0.194%E -0.048%K -0.065%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -4.00%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:34
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -16.30%E -4.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -16.30%E -4.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -16.30%E -4.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -7.71%E -4.21%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -16.30%E -4.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-02 18:44
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -8.21%E -4.51%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.46%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:34
ReBet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.65%EV -9.73%E -5.43%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -10.15%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.