Langue:Français
Chicago Fire v Necaxa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Chicago Fire (Local)
Prévision 60.82%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -2.47%
Kelly -6.74%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.59%60.77%60.81%62.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.531.531.5869.93%65.53%65.36%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Necaxa (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.99%5.56cote équitable
EV +4.91%
Avantage +0.842%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.050%
avec la cote maximale 5.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.45%18.02%18.12%19.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.155.205.8322.73%19.42%19.23%17.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 21.19%4.72cote équitable
EV +5.93%
Avantage +1.19%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.088%
avec la cote maximale 5.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.98%21.21%21.07%22.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.054.394.455.0024.69%22.76%22.47%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Chicago Fire (Local) : 60.82% ; Necaxa (Visiteur) : 17.99% ; Match nul : 21.19%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.72. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +5.93%.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV +5.93%E +1.19%K +1.48%G +0.088% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 00:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.03%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +0.637%E +0.134%K +0.170%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.42%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.74%EV -2.83%E -0.524%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -2.54%E -0.552%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -5.53%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%EV -2.54%E -0.552%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.29%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-07 00:26 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -5.53%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -6.95%E -4.54%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.50%EV -8.16%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.50%EV -8.16%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -6.43%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-07 00:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.63%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -7.33%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -5.72%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.63%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.25%EV -7.33%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.12%EV -5.72%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.16%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.63%E -0.873%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 00:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 00:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -6.78%E -1.54%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.51%EV -6.34%E -4.12%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +0.772%E +0.138%K +0.168%G +0.001% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.58%EV -6.99%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 00:26 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.68%EV +2.93%E +0.512%K +0.621%G +0.018% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%EV -8.69%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.17%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.68%EV +2.93%E +0.512%K +0.621%G +0.018% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%EV -8.69%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 00:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.40%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -5.53%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.71%EV -8.16%E -5.41%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV -8.23%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -8.90%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-07 00:26 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -5.73%E -3.70%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -5.53%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -9.96%E -2.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.71%EV -3.91%E -2.47%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.45%EV +4.91%E +0.842%K +1.02%G +0.050% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.84%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 00:26 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.12%E -3.28%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -1.03%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 22:27 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.03%E -0.187%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 00:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -7.56%E -4.97%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -15.42%E -3.28%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.22%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.22%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 00:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.22%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -17.22%E -3.74%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -11.02%E -2.62%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 00:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.47%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -14.52%E -3.06%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -13.13%E -3.20%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-07 00:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -8.77%E -5.85%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -20.82%E -4.73%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -13.13%E -3.20%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-07 00:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.68%EV -13.03%E -9.11%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.89%EV -12.72%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.43%EV -14.19%E -3.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.38% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.32% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.29% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.26% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.21% | 2.5% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.18% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.87% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.95% | 16.2% | 2026-08-07 00:36 |