Language:English
Austin FC v Tijuana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Austin FC (Local)
Prediction 35.90%2.79fair odd
EV +0.508%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.282%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.90%35.85%35.93%37.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.562.552.8040.82%38.99%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tijuana (Visit)
Prediction 36.41%2.75fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.06%36.40%36.40%38.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.602.6543.48%39.22%38.46%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.69%3.61fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.69%27.76%27.67%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.423.5033.33%29.83%29.24%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austin FC (Local): 35.90%; Tijuana (Visit): 36.41%; Draw: 27.69%. For Austin FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.508%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV +0.508%E +0.182%K +0.282%G +0.001% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -10.43%E -4.24%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.00%E -0.734%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.51%EV -3.87%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-07 01:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 00:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 00:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:06 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 00:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-07 00:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-07 00:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-07 00:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-07 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-07 00:51 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-07 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -16.25%E -7.07%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 01:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 01:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 01:06 |
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