Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin FC v Tijuana

2026-08-07 01:00 UTC — Leagues Cup

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austin FC (Local)

Prediction 39.84%2.51fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%39.82%39.96%40.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.312.302.4044.44%43.30%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tijuana (Visit)

Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.71%34.13%34.06%34.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.692.702.8038.17%37.12%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.03%3.84fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -0.873%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.47%26.05%25.98%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.7530.30%28.66%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Austin FC (Local): 39.84%; Tijuana (Visit): 34.13%; Draw: 26.03%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -2.40%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.38%E -1.83%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.40%E -0.640%K -0.873%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 16:35
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -3.70%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 16:34
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.71%EV -5.11%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 16:34
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.71%EV -5.11%E -1.84%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 16:34
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.31%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 16:34
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -6.77%E -2.89%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.61%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 19:10
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.36%E -3.64%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 18:09
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.36%E -3.64%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -9.55%E -3.60%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.91%E -2.55%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-02 16:35
ReBet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.85%EV -9.16%E -4.02%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.90%EV -8.53%E -3.18%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.26%EV -9.95%E -2.88%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 16:35
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.36%E -4.60%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 16:34
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.36%E -4.60%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 17:29
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.36%E -4.60%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 17:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.36%EV -10.36%E -4.60%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.80%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84%EV -14.11%E -4.28%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.