Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Austin FC v Tijuana

Início: 2026-08-07 01:10 UTC

Final: Austin FC 2–0 Tijuana

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Austin FC (Local)

Previsão 35.90%2.79odd justa
EV +0.508%
Vantagem +0.182%
Kelly +0.282%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.90%35.85%35.93%37.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.562.552.8040.82%38.99%39.22%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tijuana (Visitante)

Previsão 36.41%2.75odd justa
EV -3.51%
Vantagem -1.32%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.06%36.40%36.40%38.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.552.602.6543.48%39.22%38.46%37.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.69%3.61odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -0.879%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.69%27.76%27.67%29.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.353.423.5033.33%29.83%29.24%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Austin FC (Local): 35.90%; Tijuana (Visitante): 36.41%; Empate: 27.69%. Para Austin FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.79. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.508%.

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV +0.508%E +0.182%K +0.282%G +0.001%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -10.43%E -4.24%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.00%E -0.734%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.51%EV -3.87%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 01:05
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 01:00
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 01:00
Bovada🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 01:04
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:50
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:46
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 01:05
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:40
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:40
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:06
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 01:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 00:46
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 01:05
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 01:04
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 00:21
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 00:43
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:51
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-07 01:05
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -16.25%E -7.07%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-08-07 01:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-08-07 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-08-07 01:05
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-08-07 01:06