Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austin FC v Tijuana

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-07 01:10 UTC

Score final : Austin FC 2–0 Tijuana

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Austin FC (Local)

Prévision 35.90%2.79cote équitable
EV +0.508%
Avantage +0.182%
Kelly +0.282%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.90%35.85%35.93%37.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.562.552.8040.82%38.99%39.22%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tijuana (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.41%2.75cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.06%36.40%36.40%38.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.552.602.6543.48%39.22%38.46%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.69%3.61cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.879%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.69%27.76%27.67%29.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.423.5033.33%29.83%29.24%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Austin FC (Local) : 35.90% ; Tijuana (Visiteur) : 36.41% ; Match nul : 27.69%. Pour Austin FC (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.79. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +0.508%.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV +0.508%E +0.182%K +0.282%G +0.001%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -10.43%E -4.24%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 00:50
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.31%EV -2.00%E -0.734%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.51%EV -3.87%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.18%EV -5.29%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 00:55
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 01:05
Caesars🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -3.08%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 01:00
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.88%E -1.84%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-07 01:00
Bovada🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.95%E -2.27%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 01:04
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:50
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 00:46
Dabble (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 01:05
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.67%E -2.57%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 01:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.74%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -3.51%E -1.32%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 00:40
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:40
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -7.39%E -2.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.10%EV -6.06%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.23%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:06
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 01:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.15%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.46%E -1.29%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 01:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 00:46
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.47%E -3.32%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.00%E -3.08%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 01:05
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -3.08%E -0.879%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 01:04
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.85%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 00:21
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -5.33%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-07 00:43
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.97%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.62%E -2.61%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 00:35
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:51
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:50
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -10.26%E -4.10%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.79%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -16.92%E -5.64%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-07 00:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.97%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.58%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-07 01:05
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -12.06%E -4.92%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -16.25%E -7.07%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -12.77%E -4.05%K -5.94%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-07 01:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-08-07 01:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-08-07 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.50%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.56%1.5%2026-08-07 01:05
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.15%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-08-07 01:06