Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 4.85
assuming max odds 4.06
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 54.95%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 20.66%; Draw: 24.39%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.84. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.182%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.75%EV +0.182%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.59%EV -0.965%E -0.238%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 01:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -0.850%E -0.177%K -0.224%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.61%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.18%EV -2.09%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 01:46 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.53%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.01%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 03:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 23:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-07 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 12:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.99%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.33%E -5.65%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.56%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.74%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -11.18%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 04:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.97%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -10.97%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-09 13:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-08 11:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-06 04:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.38%E -4.34%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -17.38%E -4.34%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -20.72%E -6.38%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-09 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 53.89%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -18.41%E -4.66%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-07 12:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.64% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.18% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 23.19% | -0.9% | 2026-05-10 01:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 2.9% | 2026-05-09 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16% | 3.5% | 2026-05-09 23:39 |