Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zhejiang v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:35 UTC

Score final : Zhejiang 1–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prévision 54.95%1.82cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -5.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.54%54.99%54.93%57.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.691.691.7562.50%59.16%59.17%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.66%4.84cote équitable
EV +0.182%
Avantage +0.038%
Kelly +0.047%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.12%20.69%20.57%22.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.954.374.334.8525.32%22.88%23.09%20.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.39%4.10cote équitable
EV -0.965%
Avantage -0.238%
Kelly -0.316%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.52%24.32%24.49%26.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.743.704.0630.77%26.77%27.03%24.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zhejiang (Local) : 54.95% ; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur) : 20.66% ; Match nul : 24.39%. Pour Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.84. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.85, soit une espérance positive de +0.182%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.75%EV +0.182%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.59%EV -0.965%E -0.238%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 01:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -0.850%E -0.177%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 15:05
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.61%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.18%EV -2.09%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 01:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.53%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.01%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 03:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 12:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 01:04
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 23:37
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:35
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:34
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 12:50
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 12:49
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.99%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.33%E -5.65%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 13:34
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.56%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.74%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -11.18%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 23:40
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.97%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 04:20
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -10.97%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 04:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 13:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 11:39
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 11:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-06 04:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-06 04:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-07 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.38%E -4.34%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -17.38%E -4.34%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -20.72%E -6.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-09 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.89%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -18.41%E -4.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-07 12:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.64%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.18%4.35I 22.99%NM 23.19%-0.9%2026-05-10 01:19
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%2.9%2026-05-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-05-09 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-05-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-05-09 23:39