La escuela de los momios

Zhejiang v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inicio: 2026-05-10 11:35 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 1–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 54.95%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -5.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.54%54.99%54.93%57.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.691.7562.50%59.16%59.17%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visitante)

Predicción 20.66%4.84momio equitativo
EV +0.182%
Ventaja +0.038%
Kelly +0.047%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.12%20.69%20.57%22.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.374.334.8525.32%22.88%23.09%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.39%4.10momio equitativo
EV -0.965%
Ventaja -0.238%
Kelly -0.316%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.52%24.32%24.49%26.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.743.704.0630.77%26.77%27.03%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.75%EV +0.182%E +0.038%K +0.047%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.59%EV -0.965%E -0.238%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 01:39
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -0.850%E -0.177%K -0.224%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 15:05
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.61%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.18%EV -2.09%E -0.441%K -0.559%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 01:40
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.95%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 56.24%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -2.92%E -0.620%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -3.65%E -0.924%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 01:46
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.53%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -6.01%E -1.32%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 03:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 12:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 01:04
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 23:37
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:35
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:35
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.05%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-07 12:34
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 12:50
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.75%EV -8.08%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 12:49
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.99%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.09%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:34
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.32%EV -7.13%E -4.22%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.11%E -2.07%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 23:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.33%E -5.65%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV -10.15%E -2.33%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 13:34
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.69%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.47%EV -10.56%E -2.44%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -4.87%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.74%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -11.18%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.63%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 23:40
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:19
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -3.84%E -2.19%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 04:20
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 13:34
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 53.20%EV -4.39%E -2.52%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 04:19
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.63%EV -6.03%E -3.53%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -12.21%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:35
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -4.93%E -2.85%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -10.97%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 04:20
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.17%EV -5.48%E -3.19%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -10.97%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 04:20
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.31%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 13:33
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 11:39
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.23%E -4.93%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.24%E -3.15%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 11:39
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-06 04:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.58%E -3.87%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-06 04:20
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.95%EV -8.78%E -5.29%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV -15.31%E -3.73%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -9.75%E -2.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-07 12:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -17.38%E -4.34%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -8.53%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.54%EV -10.98%E -6.78%K -17.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.28%EV -17.38%E -4.34%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.19%EV -20.72%E -6.38%K -9.21%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-09 16:54
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 53.89%EV -12.08%E -7.55%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%EV -18.41%E -4.66%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-07 12:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 57.64%5.26I 19.01%NM 19.18%4.35I 22.99%NM 23.19%-0.9%2026-05-10 01:19
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%2.9%2026-05-09 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-05-09 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-05-09 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.51%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%3.5%2026-05-09 23:39