Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.18
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.89
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 31.36%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 43.47%; Draw: 25.17%. For Zhejiang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.18, with an expected value of -0.277%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -0.277%E -0.087%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.94%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.80%EV -6.10%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 02:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.36%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.51%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-20 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -6.55%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -6.55%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -7.18%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -4.84%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.49%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.08%E -0.801%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -7.49%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-20 02:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-17 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.15%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.15%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.13%EV -15.24%E -7.81%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -17.53%E -6.66%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.96%E -7.08%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-05-17 17:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 0.1% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85% | 1.8% | 2026-05-20 02:49 |