La escuela de los momios

Zhejiang v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Inicio: 2026-05-20 12:00 UTC

Final: Zhejiang 4–1 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 31.36%3.19momio equitativo
EV -0.277%
Ventaja -0.087%
Kelly -0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.26%31.41%31.31%33.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.902.903.1838.02%34.46%34.48%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 43.47%2.30momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.977%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.39%43.35%43.44%44.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.152.152.2551.28%46.45%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.17%3.97momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.718%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.48%25.23%25.24%27.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.613.603.8932.26%27.69%27.78%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -0.277%E -0.087%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.94%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.80%EV -6.10%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 02:49
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 02:46
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.36%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.51%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 02:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 02:49
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 02:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -6.55%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -6.55%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Marathon Bet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -7.18%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -4.84%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.49%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.08%E -0.801%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -7.49%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 02:49
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 02:48
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-20 02:49
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 02:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 17:25
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 02:49
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.15%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.15%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.13%EV -15.24%E -7.81%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -17.53%E -6.66%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.96%E -7.08%K -10.46%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-17 17:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-20 02:49