L’École des cotes

Zhejiang v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 12:00 UTC

Score final : Zhejiang 4–1 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Prévision 31.36%3.19cote équitable
EV -0.277%
Avantage -0.087%
Kelly -0.127%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.26%31.41%31.31%33.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.902.903.1838.02%34.46%34.48%31.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.47%2.30cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.977%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.39%43.35%43.44%44.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.152.152.2551.28%46.45%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.17%3.97cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%25.23%25.24%27.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.613.603.8932.26%27.69%27.78%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -0.277%E -0.087%K -0.127%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.94%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.80%EV -6.10%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 02:49
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.47%EV -5.24%E -2.40%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -2.79%E -0.899%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 02:46
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.36%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.13%EV -6.11%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.51%EV -2.08%E -0.534%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 02:50
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 02:49
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.92%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 02:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -6.55%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -6.55%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Marathon Bet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.32%EV -7.18%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.53%EV -4.84%E -1.28%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.99%EV -7.49%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.08%E -0.801%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 02:49
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -7.49%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 02:49
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 02:48
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 02:49
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -14.41%E -4.24%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -9.06%E -3.12%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-20 02:49
FanDuel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 17:25
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -2.20%E -0.977%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.38%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 02:49
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.48%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -10.63%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 02:49
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.34%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 17:25
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 02:49
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -5.60%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.55%E -3.04%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.86%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.37%E -1.99%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.76%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 02:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 02:49
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.15%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.36%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.01%EV -13.15%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -10.63%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-20 02:49
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -13.76%E -5.00%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.13%EV -15.24%E -7.81%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.89%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -17.53%E -6.66%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -21.96%E -7.08%K -10.46%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-17 17:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%0.1%2026-05-20 02:49
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-20 02:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.69%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.85%1.8%2026-05-20 02:49