The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Zhejiang v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 07:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zhejiang (Local)

Prediction 69.47%1.44fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -10.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.69%69.35%69.39%71.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.351.341.3877.52%74.30%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)

Prediction 12.31%8.13fair odd
EV +5.84%
Edge +0.679%
Kelly +0.768%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 8.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.26%12.41%12.28%14.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.107.187.128.6016.39%13.93%14.04%11.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.22%5.49fair odd
EV +3.88%
Edge +0.680%
Kelly +0.825%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 5.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.99%18.25%18.33%19.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.975.005.7021.74%20.10%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhejiang (Local): 69.47%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 12.31%; Draw: 18.22%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.13. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.26%EV +5.84%E +0.679%K +0.768%G +0.045%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.99%EV +3.88%E +0.680%K +0.825%G +0.032%3.2%2026-04-05 07:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.26%EV +5.84%E +0.679%K +0.768%G +0.045%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.99%EV +3.88%E +0.680%K +0.825%G +0.032%3.2%2026-04-05 07:14
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.26%EV -6.91%E -5.16%K -20.33%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.31%EV +3.87%E +0.459%K +0.520%G +0.020%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.43%EV -0.133%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 07:20
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV +1.53%E +0.186%K +0.211%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 07:09
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.20%EV -8.30%E -6.29%K -25.94%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +1.53%E +0.186%K +0.211%G +0.003%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -1.59%E -0.295%K -0.362%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 07:09
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.54%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV -0.929%E -0.115%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.59%E -0.295%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 07:24
DraftKings🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.32%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 07:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 07:10
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 07:10
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.69%E -7.45%K -32.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -5.24%E -0.680%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -7.97%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 07:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.91%E -5.16%K -20.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -4.32%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 07:14
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:19
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:20
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:25
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -10.16%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -6.15%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 07:14
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -10.16%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -6.15%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 07:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -11.39%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 07:15
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.17%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.12%EV -12.37%E -1.74%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -9.06%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 07:24
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:25
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 07:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.69%E -7.45%K -32.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 07:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.22%EV -8.30%E -6.29%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -16.93%E -2.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.41%E -0.644%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 07:09
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 07:09
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -10.38%E -8.05%K -35.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -23.08%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.69%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -24.93%E -4.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.17%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 06:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.69%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -24.93%E -4.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.17%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 06:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.45%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.17%2.2%2026-04-05 07:25
Kalshi◎1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46%3.0%2026-04-05 07:20