L’École des cotes

Zhejiang v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 07:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Prévision 69.47%1.44cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -2.99%
Kelly -10.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.69%69.35%69.39%71.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.351.341.3877.52%74.30%74.63%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.31%8.13cote équitable
EV +5.84%
Avantage +0.679%
Kelly +0.768%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 8.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.26%12.41%12.28%14.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.107.187.128.6016.39%13.93%14.04%11.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 18.22%5.49cote équitable
EV +3.88%
Avantage +0.680%
Kelly +0.825%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 5.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.99%18.25%18.33%19.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.604.975.005.7021.74%20.10%20.00%17.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.26%EV +5.84%E +0.679%K +0.768%G +0.045%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.99%EV +3.88%E +0.680%K +0.825%G +0.032%3.2%2026-04-05 07:15
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.26%EV +5.84%E +0.679%K +0.768%G +0.045%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.99%EV +3.88%E +0.680%K +0.825%G +0.032%3.2%2026-04-05 07:14
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.26%EV -6.91%E -5.16%K -20.33%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.31%EV +3.87%E +0.459%K +0.520%G +0.020%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.43%EV -0.133%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 07:20
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV +1.53%E +0.186%K +0.211%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 07:09
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.20%EV -8.30%E -6.29%K -25.94%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +1.53%E +0.186%K +0.211%G +0.003%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -1.59%E -0.295%K -0.362%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 07:09
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.54%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV -0.929%E -0.115%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.59%E -0.295%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 07:24
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.32%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 07:09
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 07:10
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 07:10
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.69%E -7.45%K -32.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:10
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -5.24%E -0.680%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -7.97%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 07:25
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.91%E -5.16%K -20.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -4.32%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 07:14
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:19
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:25
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -10.16%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -6.15%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 07:14
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -10.16%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -6.15%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 07:14
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -11.39%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 07:15
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.17%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.12%EV -12.37%E -1.74%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -9.06%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 07:24
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:25
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 07:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.69%E -7.45%K -32.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 07:19
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.22%EV -8.30%E -6.29%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -16.93%E -2.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.41%E -0.644%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 07:09
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 07:09
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:40
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -10.38%E -8.05%K -35.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -23.08%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.69%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -24.93%E -4.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.17%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 06:29
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.69%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -24.93%E -4.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.17%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 06:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.45%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.17%2.2%2026-04-05 07:25
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46%3.0%2026-04-05 07:20