La escuela de los momios

Zhejiang v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inicio: 2026-04-05 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zhejiang (Local)

Predicción 69.47%1.44momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -2.99%
Kelly -10.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.69%69.35%69.39%71.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.351.341.3877.52%74.30%74.63%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)

Predicción 12.31%8.13momio equitativo
EV +5.84%
Ventaja +0.679%
Kelly +0.768%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.26%12.41%12.28%14.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.107.187.128.6016.39%13.93%14.04%11.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.22%5.49momio equitativo
EV +3.88%
Ventaja +0.680%
Kelly +0.825%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.99%18.25%18.33%19.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.604.975.005.7021.74%20.10%20.00%17.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.26%EV +5.84%E +0.679%K +0.768%G +0.045%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.99%EV +3.88%E +0.680%K +0.825%G +0.032%3.2%2026-04-05 07:15
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.26%EV +5.84%E +0.679%K +0.768%G +0.045%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.99%EV +3.88%E +0.680%K +0.825%G +0.032%3.2%2026-04-05 07:14
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 71.26%EV -6.91%E -5.16%K -20.33%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.31%EV +3.87%E +0.459%K +0.520%G +0.020%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.43%EV -0.133%E -0.024%K -0.030%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 07:20
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV +1.53%E +0.186%K +0.211%G +0.003%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 07:09
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 71.20%EV -8.30%E -6.29%K -25.94%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +1.53%E +0.186%K +0.211%G +0.003%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.41%EV -1.59%E -0.295%K -0.362%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 07:09
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 70.54%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.83%EV -0.929%E -0.115%K -0.132%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.63%EV -1.59%E -0.295%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 07:24
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.32%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 07:09
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 07:10
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 07:10
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.69%E -7.45%K -32.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.54%E -0.193%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:10
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.03%EV -5.24%E -0.680%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.34%EV -7.97%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 07:25
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.91%E -5.16%K -20.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -4.32%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 07:14
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:19
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.70%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 07:25
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -10.16%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -6.15%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 07:14
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -10.16%E -1.39%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -6.15%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 07:14
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -11.39%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 07:15
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.17%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%7.12I 14.04%NM 13.12%EV -12.37%E -1.74%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.72%EV -9.06%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 07:24
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -6.22%E -4.60%K -17.76%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:25
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -13.44%E -2.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 07:25
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.69%E -7.45%K -32.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -13.85%E -1.98%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -8.88%E -1.78%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 07:19
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.22%EV -8.30%E -6.29%K -25.94%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -16.93%E -2.51%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.41%E -0.644%K -0.794%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 07:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 07:09
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 67.49%EV -7.61%E -5.72%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -20.00%E -3.08%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -12.53%E -2.61%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-05 07:09
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:29
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:30
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -4.13%E -2.99%K -10.88%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -21.24%E -3.32%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -14.35%E -3.05%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 06:40
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -10.38%E -8.05%K -35.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -23.08%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -10.70%E -2.18%K -2.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.69%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -24.93%E -4.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.17%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 06:29
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 65.69%EV -4.83%E -3.52%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -24.93%E -4.09%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -16.17%E -3.52%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 06:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (2)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 71.45%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.38%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.17%2.2%2026-04-05 07:25
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 70.88%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.66%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.46%3.0%2026-04-05 07:20