Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yunnan Yukun v Zhejiang

Kickoff: 2026-05-06 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Zhejiang

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prediction 46.93%2.13fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.18%46.86%46.85%47.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.981.992.0655.56%50.55%50.25%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zhejiang (Visit)

Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV -0.906%
Edge -0.283%
Kelly -0.412%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%30.94%31.10%32.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.962.953.2038.46%33.81%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.11%4.52fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.620%
Kelly -0.803%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%22.20%22.05%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.084.054.4029.41%24.53%24.69%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 46.93%; Zhejiang (Visit): 30.97%; Draw: 22.11%. For Zhejiang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.906%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:30
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:30
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 09:29
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.18%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-06 09:29
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.84%EV -5.68%E -2.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -0.906%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -3.84%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 11:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:45
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 11:54
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.28%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 11:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.45%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.72%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:05
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.45%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.72%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:54
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:55
BetUS🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.88%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.89%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.74%EV -6.48%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 09:29
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.74%EV -8.02%E -4.09%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -6.71%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.67%EV -8.02%E -4.09%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 11:39
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 11:50
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:50
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.94%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:09
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-06 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -10.84%E -5.71%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -14.84%E -5.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 11:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -12.25%E -6.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-06 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -24.84%E -7.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-06 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.68%EV -15.53%E -8.63%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.32%EV -19.49%E -7.49%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.01%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-06 11:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-06 11:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.52%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%1.0%2026-05-06 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-05-06 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-06 11:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-06 11:54