L’École des cotes

Yunnan Yukun v Zhejiang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 12:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Zhejiang

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 46.93%2.13cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.18%46.86%46.85%47.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.981.992.0655.56%50.55%50.25%48.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zhejiang (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.97%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.906%
Avantage -0.283%
Kelly -0.412%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.82%30.94%31.10%32.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.962.953.2038.46%33.81%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.11%4.52cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.620%
Kelly -0.803%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.01%22.20%22.05%24.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.084.054.4029.41%24.53%24.69%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:30
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 09:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.18%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-06 09:29
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.84%EV -5.68%E -2.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -0.906%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -3.84%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 11:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:45
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 11:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.28%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 11:39
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:10
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.45%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.72%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:05
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.45%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.72%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:54
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:55
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.88%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:49
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.89%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.74%EV -6.48%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:49
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 09:29
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 09:29
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.74%EV -8.02%E -4.09%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -6.71%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.67%EV -8.02%E -4.09%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 11:09
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 11:39
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 11:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.94%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 11:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:08
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:09
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-06 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -10.84%E -5.71%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -14.84%E -5.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -12.25%E -6.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-06 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -24.84%E -7.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-06 11:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 46.68%EV -15.53%E -8.63%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.32%EV -19.49%E -7.49%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.01%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-06 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-06 11:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.52%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%1.0%2026-05-06 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-05-06 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-06 11:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-06 11:54