La escuela de los momios

Yunnan Yukun v Zhejiang

Inicio: 2026-05-06 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Zhejiang

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Predicción 46.93%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.18%46.86%46.85%47.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.981.992.0655.56%50.55%50.25%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Predicción 30.97%3.23momio equitativo
EV -0.906%
Ventaja -0.283%
Kelly -0.412%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%30.94%31.10%32.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.962.953.2038.46%33.81%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.11%4.52momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -0.620%
Kelly -0.803%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.01%22.20%22.05%24.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.084.054.4029.41%24.53%24.69%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:30
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:29
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.18%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-06 09:30
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.42%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 09:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 45.18%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.68%E -3.21%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-06 09:29
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.84%EV -5.68%E -2.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.05%EV -0.906%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%EV -3.84%E -0.882%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 11:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.39%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:45
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.03%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 11:54
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.28%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 11:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.94%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 11:39
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.79%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.05%E -1.42%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 11:10
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.45%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.72%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:05
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.45%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.17%EV -7.72%E -2.59%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.38%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:09
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:54
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:54
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-06 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:54
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:55
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -6.62%E -3.33%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.45%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.88%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -2.73%E -0.620%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 11:49
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.89%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.74%EV -6.48%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 11:49
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 09:29
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.40%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.54%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-06 09:29
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.74%EV -8.02%E -4.09%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -3.69%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -6.71%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.67%EV -8.02%E -4.09%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 11:09
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 11:39
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 11:50
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.94%EV -8.65%E -2.93%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -9.36%E -2.28%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-06 11:54
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -8.49%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-06 11:54
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:08
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.15%E -1.70%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 11:09
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-06 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-06 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.17%EV -10.84%E -5.71%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -14.84%E -5.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.93%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-06 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.82%EV -12.25%E -6.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -11.74%E -4.12%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -13.78%E -3.53%K -4.75%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-06 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.62%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.82%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.56%EV -24.84%E -7.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%19.8%2026-05-06 11:40
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 46.68%EV -15.53%E -8.63%K -19.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.32%EV -19.49%E -7.49%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.01%EV -11.57%E -2.89%K -3.86%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-06 11:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-06 11:54
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.52%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%1.0%2026-05-06 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-05-06 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-06 11:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-06 11:54