Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.81
assuming max odds 2.56
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 34.86%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 38.99%; Draw: 26.14%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.655%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV +0.655%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.27%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 11:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.27%EV -2.03%E -0.723%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -9.93%E -4.30%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -1.74%E -0.690%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -16.33%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -0.180%E -0.070%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -0.180%E -0.070%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -15.39%E -7.09%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -15.39%E -7.09%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |