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Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wuhan Three Towns (Local)
Predicción 34.86%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.723%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.97%34.77%34.94%36.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.672.652.8141.67%37.50%37.74%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 38.99%2.56momio equitativo
EV -0.180%
Ventaja -0.070%
Kelly -0.116%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.12%39.06%38.89%40.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.172.342.352.5646.08%42.65%42.55%39.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.14%3.82momio equitativo
EV +0.655%
Ventaja +0.170%
Kelly +0.230%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%26.18%26.17%27.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.503.503.8530.30%28.55%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 34.86%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante): 38.99%; Empate: 26.14%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.82. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.655%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV +0.655%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.002% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.27%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-14 11:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.27%EV -2.03%E -0.723%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -9.93%E -4.30%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -1.74%E -0.690%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:23 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -16.33%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -0.180%E -0.070%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -0.180%E -0.070%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-14 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -15.39%E -7.09%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -15.39%E -7.09%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |