默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Wuhan Three Towns v Shanghai SIPG FC

开赛时间: 2026-08-14 11:35 UTC

最终结果: Wuhan Three Towns 2–3 Shanghai SIPG FC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Wuhan Three Towns (主队)

预测 34.86%2.87公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -0.723%
Kelly -1.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.81

博彩公司预测分布
32.97%34.77%34.94%36.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.672.652.8141.67%37.50%37.74%35.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

Shanghai SIPG FC (客队)

预测 38.99%2.56公平赔率
EV -0.180%
优势 -0.070%
Kelly -0.116%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.56

博彩公司预测分布
37.12%39.06%38.89%40.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.172.342.352.5646.08%42.65%42.55%39.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.14%3.82公平赔率
EV +0.655%
优势 +0.170%
Kelly +0.230%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.85

博彩公司预测分布
24.60%26.18%26.17%27.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.503.503.8530.30%28.55%28.57%25.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Wuhan Three Towns (主队):34.86%;Shanghai SIPG FC (客队):38.99%;平局:26.14%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.82。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.85,对应+0.655%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.08%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.31%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV +0.655%E +0.170%K +0.230%G +0.002%5.6%2026-08-14 11:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.27%E -0.883%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 11:15
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.04%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.55%EV -6.03%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.40%EV -5.62%E -1.56%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 11:15
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:15
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:19
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 11:09
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 11:24
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 11:30
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-14 11:28
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -12.27%E -5.45%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 11:14
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.27%EV -2.03%E -0.723%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -9.93%E -4.30%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -6.93%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.65%EV -3.08%E -1.11%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -1.74%E -0.690%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 11:20
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 11:14
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.23%EV -8.66%E -3.30%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 11:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:24
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.61%E -2.87%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:23
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:15
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:14
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:14
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:14
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:15
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -2.38%E -0.851%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.56%EV -11.10%E -4.87%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 11:14
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 11:19
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -16.33%E -6.80%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.50%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-14 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -6.57%E -2.45%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 11:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -0.180%E -0.070%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.17%E -1.90%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.12%EV -0.180%E -0.070%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 11:24
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.35%E -3.60%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -8.37%E -3.56%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -11.10%E -4.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -7.20%E -3.02%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 11:25
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.84%E -5.14%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.32%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -14.22%E -6.46%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -12.42%E -3.71%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 11:19
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 11:25
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -5.87%E -2.17%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.42%E -2.67%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -15.39%E -7.09%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-14 11:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -8.31%E -3.16%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.28%EV -15.39%E -7.09%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-14 11:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-14 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-14 11:29
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-08-14 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-08-14 11:24
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-08-14 11:29