The School of Odds

Wuhan Three Towns v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

2026-07-25 12:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prediction 43.95%2.28fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.01%43.89%45.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.942.082.102.1752%48%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.70%28.55%28.60%29.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.213.223.3535%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.47%3.64fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%27.44%27.51%28.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.353.5032%30%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.95%EV -4.62%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.64%EV -4.82%E -1.45%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.41%EV -4.42%E -1.27%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 12:35
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 43.67%EV -4.62%E -2.13%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.63%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.71%EV -6.07%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:20
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-18 19:07
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.50%E -2.56%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 14:30
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -6.82%E -3.22%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 12:20
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 43.95%EV -7.26%E -3.44%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.62%EV -7.39%E -2.28%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.43%EV -7.17%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 12:25
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 12:20
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-18 12:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 12:20
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 12:19
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-18 12:20
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 14:25
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 14:25
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 14:25
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.70%E -3.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.53%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 14:25
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -4.25%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -5.25%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 12:20
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 43.84%EV -8.58%E -4.12%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -9.96%E -3.16%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.22%EV -7.99%E -2.39%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 12:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 12:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 12:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.90%E -4.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 16:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 12:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.10%E -6.05%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-18 12:39
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.07%EV -12.98%E -6.55%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.08%EV -14.25%E -4.75%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.85%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-18 12:20
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.36%EV -14.73%E -7.59%K -15.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.51%EV -18.54%E -6.50%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.13%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-18 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%6.0%2026-07-18 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.26%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%6.0%2026-07-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 36.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 31.78%2.50I 40.00%NM 31.78%25.9%2026-07-18 13:15