Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.33
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 41.39%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 30.75%; Draw: 27.86%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.95%EV -12.68%E -4.46%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.06%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-25 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -1.61%E -0.502%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 11:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-25 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-23 01:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-25 11:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-25 11:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 11:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 11:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.45%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 11:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 11:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.56%EV -8.52%E -3.85%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-25 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -3.15%E -0.998%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 11:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 04:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-25 04:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -10.59%E -4.90%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -10.59%E -4.90%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-25 11:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-25 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-25 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22% | 1.2% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-07-25 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49% | 1.9% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |