La escuela de los momios

Wuhan Three Towns v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inicio: 2026-07-25 12:00 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 1–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Predicción 41.39%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -2.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.16%41.40%41.50%42.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.232.3347.62%44.91%44.84%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visitante)

Predicción 30.75%3.25momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.502%
Kelly -0.731%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.40%30.77%30.64%32.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.013.003.2035.71%33.25%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.86%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -0.714%
Kelly -0.999%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.83%27.86%29.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.303.5032.26%30.54%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.95%EV -12.68%E -4.46%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.06%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 11:50
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:44
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:45
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -1.61%E -0.502%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 11:45
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:29
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:53
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:49
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 01:29
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 11:34
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:34
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 11:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 11:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:35
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 11:35
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:53
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:53
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.45%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 11:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:54
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:29
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:29
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 11:34
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 11:35
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.56%EV -8.52%E -3.85%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 11:39
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -3.15%E -0.998%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:34
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 11:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 11:24
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 04:19
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 04:20
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -10.59%E -4.90%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 11:30
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -10.59%E -4.90%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 11:34
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 11:50
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 11:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-07-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 11:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-07-25 11:25