L’École des cotes

Wuhan Three Towns v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 12:00 UTC

Score final : Wuhan Three Towns 1–0 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prévision 41.39%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -2.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.16%41.40%41.50%42.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.232.3347.62%44.91%44.84%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.75%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -0.502%
Kelly -0.731%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.40%30.77%30.64%32.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.013.003.2035.71%33.25%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.86%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.714%
Kelly -0.999%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.83%27.86%29.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.303.5032.26%30.54%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.95%EV -12.68%E -4.46%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -3.06%E -0.878%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-25 11:50
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:44
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:45
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.64%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.06%EV -1.61%E -0.502%K -0.731%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 11:45
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:29
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:53
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.79%E -2.08%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 11:49
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 41.97%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.26%EV -4.07%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 01:29
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 11:34
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.50%E -0.714%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 11:34
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 11:29
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 11:55
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.28%E -1.55%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:35
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 11:35
betano_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:53
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:53
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.45%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 11:35
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:54
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -6.86%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:54
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:29
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:29
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.69%E -3.45%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:30
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 11:34
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.45%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 11:35
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.56%EV -8.52%E -3.85%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-25 11:39
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -7.51%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 11:35
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.10%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.40%EV -3.15%E -0.998%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:34
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-25 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.53%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.47%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -12.25%E -3.89%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 11:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 11:24
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.29%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:55
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 04:19
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -8.93%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 04:20
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -10.59%E -4.90%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 11:30
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.58%EV -10.59%E -4.90%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.45%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.64%E -4.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-25 11:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.68%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 11:34
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.00%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.86%E -3.39%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 11:50
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -8.07%E -2.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-25 11:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -13.07%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -9.46%E -2.91%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-25 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.22%1.2%2026-07-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-07-25 11:55
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%1.9%2026-07-25 11:25