The School of Odds

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Yunnan Yukun

2026-08-01 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prediction 39.36%2.54fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.83%39.34%39.33%40.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.332.4246.51%43.15%43.01%41.32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Yunnan Yukun (Visit)

Prediction 33.68%2.97fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.684%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.40%33.85%33.74%35.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.742.9140.00%36.92%36.50%34.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.96%3.71fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.289%
Kelly +0.394%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.31%26.81%26.93%27.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.7531.75%29.23%29.41%26.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV +1.08%E +0.289%K +0.394%G +0.004%5.4%2026-07-26 11:25
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.96%E -0.822%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 11:20
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.96%E -0.822%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 11:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.76%E -4.49%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -2.96%E -0.822%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 13:10
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.41%EV -4.74%E -1.96%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.94%EV -5.36%E -1.91%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -3.50%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 13:05
Pinnacle2.39I 41.84%NM 39.62%EV -5.92%E -2.48%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.94%EV -6.03%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.45%EV -3.50%E -0.978%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 13:10
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.75%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -10.75%E -4.06%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -4.31%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 13:10
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -11.76%E -4.49%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -5.66%E -1.62%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 11:20
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.94%EV -8.05%E -2.95%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.63%EV -6.20%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 13:05
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -7.10%E -3.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.40%EV -1.99%E -0.684%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.65%EV -8.08%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:35
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.76%EV -7.04%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:05
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -5.52%E -2.30%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.76%EV -7.04%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:05
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.06%E -3.36%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 13:05
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -15.37%E -7.15%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.80%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -8.35%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 13:10
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.37%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 12:20
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.26%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.19%EV -6.37%E -2.29%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 12:20
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.49%E -3.19%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 12:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:05
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:05
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:05
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.46%E -4.11%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -7.38%E -2.68%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 13:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.43%E -5.08%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.43%E -4.78%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-26 12:20
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.40%E -6.09%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -10.75%E -4.06%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -13.74%E -4.29%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-26 12:20
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.33%EV -15.37%E -7.15%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.82%EV -15.80%E -6.32%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.84%EV -15.09%E -4.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-26 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.