Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.49
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 46.58%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 28.15%; Draw: 25.27%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.49, with an expected value of -1.75%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.73%E -0.709%K -0.958%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 10:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.24%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.24%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 10:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.24%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-01 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 10:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 10:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.75%E -0.501%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.21%EV -3.49%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.72%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.87%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -12.84%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -12.84%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 10:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 10:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-01 10:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.10%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 10:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.02%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 10:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-01 10:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 10:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -22.58%E -8.21%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-01 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -9.63%E -4.96%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-01 10:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 10:55 |
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