Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Yunnan Yukun

Início: 2026-08-01 11:00 UTC

Final: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 3–2 Yunnan Yukun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Previsão 46.58%2.15odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.98%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.86%46.29%46.59%47.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.022.002.1052.08%49.61%50.00%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Previsão 28.15%3.55odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -0.501%
Kelly -0.702%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.44%28.17%31.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.203.253.4936.36%31.20%30.77%28.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.27%3.96odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -0.709%
Kelly -0.958%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.07%25.28%25.24%26.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.623.603.8528.99%27.62%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 46.58%; Yunnan Yukun (Visitante): 28.15%; Empate: 25.27%. Para Yunnan Yukun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.55. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.49, com valor esperado de -1.75%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.73%E -0.709%K -0.958%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 10:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-01 10:34
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:50
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:50
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -10.31%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.24%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.24%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 10:45
BetUS🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.24%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.12%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.11%E -1.49%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.96%EV -14.13%E -4.63%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 10:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 10:34
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -4.51%E -2.20%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 10:35
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.59%EV -1.75%E -0.501%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.21%EV -3.49%E -0.913%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 10:50
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.72%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.87%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -12.84%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 10:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -4.97%E -2.44%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -12.84%E -3.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 10:50
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.09%EV -5.44%E -2.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 10:39
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -5.69%E -1.70%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.99%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 10:40
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 10:49
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 10:49
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 10:50
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 10:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 10:49
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 10:14
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -6.84%E -3.42%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -15.54%E -5.18%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-01 10:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.77%E -3.92%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 10:54
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.52%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.38%EV -3.72%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.10%EV -5.76%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -8.23%E -4.18%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 10:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.47%EV -8.70%E -4.44%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -11.32%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 10:49
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.54%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.28%E -1.26%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.02%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 10:55
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 10:44
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -6.52%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 10:45
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 10:40
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -7.78%E -2.13%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 10:45
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.50%E -2.62%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.57%E -3.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 10:34
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -9.16%E -4.70%K -9.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -22.58%E -8.21%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-01 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -9.63%E -4.96%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.10%E -2.15%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -10.56%E -5.50%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.73%E -4.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.05%E -2.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-01 10:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-08-01 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-08-01 10:55
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-08-01 10:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-08-01 10:55