Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 3.56
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 44.77%; Wuhan Three Towns (Visit): 27.46%; Draw: 27.77%. For Wuhan Three Towns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.56, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.77%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -2.80%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -6.42%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -2.25%E -0.631%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.36%E -0.966%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -3.34%E -0.950%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -5.03%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.09%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -7.81%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 07:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.02%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -12.25%E -6.25%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.1% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 07:54 |