La scuola delle quote

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Inizio: 2026-05-01 11:35 UTC

Finale: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 2–2 Wuhan Three Towns

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Casa)

Previsione 44.77%2.23quota equa
EV -4.19%
Vantaggio -1.96%
Kelly -3.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.74%44.85%44.68%45.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.052.062.1451.28%48.68%48.54%46.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wuhan Three Towns (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.46%3.64quota equa
EV -2.25%
Vantaggio -0.631%
Kelly -0.877%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.24%27.45%27.57%28.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.353.353.5632.26%29.83%29.85%28.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.77%3.60quota equa
EV -2.81%
Vantaggio -0.802%
Kelly -1.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.76%27.70%27.75%29.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.31%30.30%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 07:54
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 07:55
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.77%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -2.80%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -6.42%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -2.25%E -0.631%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.36%E -0.966%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -3.34%E -0.950%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -5.03%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 07:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 07:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.09%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -7.81%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:53
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 07:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.02%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -12.25%E -6.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-05-01 07:54