L’École des cotes

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Wuhan Three Towns

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 11:35 UTC

Score final : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 2–2 Wuhan Three Towns

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prévision 44.77%2.23cote équitable
EV -4.19%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.74%44.85%44.68%45.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.052.062.1451.28%48.68%48.54%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wuhan Three Towns (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.46%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.25%
Avantage -0.631%
Kelly -0.877%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.45%27.57%28.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.353.5632.26%29.83%29.85%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.802%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.76%27.70%27.75%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.31%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 07:54
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-01 07:55
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.77%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.94%EV -2.80%E -0.790%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.30%EV -6.42%E -1.90%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.01%EV -2.25%E -0.631%K -0.877%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.63%EV -3.36%E -0.966%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-01 07:54
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.00%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.10%EV -3.34%E -0.950%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.90%EV -5.03%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-01 07:55
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 07:54
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 07:55
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 07:54
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 07:53
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 07:54
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.27%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 07:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.42%EV -6.87%E -3.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 07:54
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.99%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.10%EV -6.09%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -7.81%E -2.35%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.66%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-30 23:59
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -2.81%E -0.802%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:54
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 07:55
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:53
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-30 23:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:55
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:54
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:55
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.64%E -1.95%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-01 07:54
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 07:55
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.58%EV -9.56%E -4.73%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.89%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.01%E -2.39%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-01 07:55
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.39%E -2.84%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 07:54
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.13%E -3.79%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -20.02%E -6.95%K -10.65%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-01 07:54
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.49%EV -11.35%E -5.73%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%EV -14.88%E -4.80%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-01 07:54
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -12.25%E -6.25%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-01 07:54
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.70%E -6.51%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.76%E -3.31%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.1%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-05-01 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.04%1.9%2026-05-01 07:54
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.47%2.0%2026-05-01 07:54