A Escola das Odds

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Início: 2026-04-12 11:00 UTC

Final: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Previsão 47.31%2.11odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -1.96%
Kelly -3.85%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.14%47.36%47.37%48.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.841.931.942.0354.35%51.77%51.41%49.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Previsão 25.70%3.89odd justa
EV -0.292%
Vantagem -0.075%
Kelly -0.101%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.29%25.66%25.61%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.583.553.8830.30%27.91%28.17%25.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.00%3.70odd justa
EV -2.81%
Vantagem -0.781%
Kelly -1.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.45%26.99%27.02%28.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.23%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.87%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:19
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.83%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.78%EV -0.292%E -0.075%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -5.24%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 10:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.92%EV -1.58%E -0.412%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.59%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 10:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.63%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:14
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:05
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.63%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -7.28%E -3.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.35%E -0.618%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:13
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:09
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -4.40%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:15
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:14
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 10:20
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.70%E -4.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:20
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 10:07
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.01%E -6.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.35%E -0.618%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -11.07%E -5.89%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 19:45
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.54%E -6.17%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 10:03
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -12.96%E -7.04%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20