L’École des cotes

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 11:00 UTC

Score final : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prévision 47.31%2.11cote équitable
EV -3.97%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -3.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.14%47.36%47.37%48.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.841.931.942.0354.35%51.77%51.41%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.292%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.101%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.29%25.66%25.61%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.583.553.8830.30%27.91%28.17%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.00%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.781%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.45%26.99%27.02%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.23%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.87%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:19
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.83%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.78%EV -0.292%E -0.075%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -5.24%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 10:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.92%EV -1.58%E -0.412%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.59%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 10:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.63%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:14
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:05
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.63%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -7.28%E -3.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.35%E -0.618%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:13
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:09
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -4.40%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:15
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:14
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 10:20
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.70%E -4.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:20
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 10:07
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.01%E -6.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.35%E -0.618%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -11.07%E -5.89%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 19:45
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.54%E -6.17%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 10:03
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -12.96%E -7.04%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20