مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

البداية: 2026-04-12 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.31%2.11السعر العادل
EV -3.97%
الأفضلية -1.96%
Kelly -3.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.03

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.14%47.36%47.37%48.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.841.931.942.0354.35%51.77%51.41%49.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.70%3.89السعر العادل
EV -0.292%
الأفضلية -0.075%
Kelly -0.101%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.29%25.66%25.61%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.583.553.8830.30%27.91%28.17%25.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.00%3.70السعر العادل
EV -2.81%
الأفضلية -0.781%
Kelly -1.08%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.45%26.99%27.02%28.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.23%29.41%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.87%EV -3.97%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.97%EV -2.09%E -0.549%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.15%EV -8.75%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 10:19
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.83%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.78%EV -0.292%E -0.075%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.39%EV -5.24%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 10:20
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49%EV -4.92%E -2.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.92%EV -1.58%E -0.412%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.59%EV -6.59%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-12 10:20
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.63%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 10:19
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 10:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:09
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.39%E -2.69%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 10:09
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:14
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -6.34%E -3.20%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:05
BetUS1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -6.81%E -3.46%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.63%E -0.969%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 47.99%EV -7.28%E -3.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.35%E -0.618%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 10:13
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 10:09
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.52%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.91%EV -4.40%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.58%EV -9.29%E -2.77%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 10:15
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 10:14
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.86%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 10:09
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-12 10:00
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -12.26%E -3.77%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.75%E -3.98%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 10:15
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%EV -8.23%E -4.24%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 10:20
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -8.70%E -4.51%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 10:20
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -6.20%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 10:05
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 10:07
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-12 10:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -9.65%E -5.05%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.01%E -6.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-12 10:10
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -2.35%E -0.618%K -0.838%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.12%E -5.33%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.42%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 10:10
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 48.61%EV -10.59%E -5.60%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-09 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -11.07%E -5.89%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.77%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -2.81%E -0.781%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-09 19:45
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.88%EV -11.54%E -6.17%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.20%E -4.61%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 10:03
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -5.51%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 19:45
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -12.49%E -6.75%K -14.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 10:14
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -12.96%E -7.04%K -15.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -11.34%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.91%E -3.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 10:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-04-12 10:15
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-04-12 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-12 10:20