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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)
Prediction 48.57%2.06fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.83%48.67%48.45%51.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.871.891.9557.80%53.42%52.91%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 25.05%3.99fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.359%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%24.99%25.20%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.723.703.9529.85%26.88%27.03%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.38%3.79fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.649%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.26%26.34%26.35%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.7030.30%28.44%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 48.57%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 25.05%; Draw: 26.38%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.95, with an expected value of -1.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.99%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.69%EV -3.06%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.32%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.90%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.56%E -0.925%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 03:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.36%EV -2.81%E -0.725%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.40%EV -5.57%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 06:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.15%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.30%EV -9.65%E -5.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -13.58%E -3.94%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 03:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.84%EV -10.62%E -5.77%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -16.09%E -4.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-09 03:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:22 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.95%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -11.60%E -6.37%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.95%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -14.02%E -7.92%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -15.00%E -8.57%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -15.97%E -9.23%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -15.97%E -9.23%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 01:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |