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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)
Predicción 48.57%2.06momio equitativo
EV -5.28%
Ventaja -2.71%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.83%48.67%48.45%51.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.871.891.9557.80%53.42%52.91%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)
Predicción 25.05%3.99momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.268%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.66%24.99%25.20%26.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.723.703.9529.85%26.88%27.03%25.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.38%3.79momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -0.649%
Kelly -0.890%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.26%26.34%26.35%27.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.523.503.7030.30%28.44%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local): 48.57%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante): 25.05%; Empate: 26.38%. Para Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.95, con un valor esperado de -1.06%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.99%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.69%EV -3.06%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.32%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.90%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.56%E -0.925%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 03:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.36%EV -2.81%E -0.725%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.40%EV -5.57%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 06:12 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 14:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-07 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.15%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 13:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-09 02:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-09 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.30%EV -9.65%E -5.19%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -13.58%E -3.94%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-09 03:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-09 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-07 11:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.84%EV -10.62%E -5.77%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -16.09%E -4.80%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-09 03:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:22 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 01:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.95%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 10:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -11.60%E -6.37%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.95%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-09 02:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -14.02%E -7.92%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -15.00%E -8.57%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -15.97%E -9.23%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 01:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -15.97%E -9.23%K -21.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 01:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68% | 5.0% | 2026-09-09 16:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 17:15 |