Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-12 11:00 UTC

Score final : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC 1–0 Liaoning Tieren FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local)

Prévision 48.57%2.06cote équitable
EV -5.28%
Avantage -2.71%
Kelly -5.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.83%48.67%48.45%51.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.871.891.9557.80%53.42%52.91%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.268%
Kelly -0.359%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.66%24.99%25.20%26.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.723.703.9529.85%26.88%27.03%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.38%3.79cote équitable
EV -2.40%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -0.890%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.26%26.34%26.35%27.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.523.503.7030.30%28.44%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Local) : 48.57% ; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur) : 25.05% ; Match nul : 26.38%. Pour Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.99. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.95, pour une espérance de -1.06% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.99%EV -5.28%E -2.71%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.69%EV -3.06%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.32%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-09 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.90%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.56%E -0.925%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 03:35
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 09:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.24%EV -6.25%E -3.24%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 11:04
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.36%EV -2.81%E -0.725%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.40%EV -5.57%E -1.56%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 12:30
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 02:09
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.74%E -3.51%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 02:09
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.00%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.37%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 06:12
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 17:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 14:40
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.22%E -3.78%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 14:39
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:25
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -7.71%E -4.06%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 11:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -8.20%E -4.34%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.31%EV -7.15%E -2.03%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -8.68%E -4.62%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 02:15
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:40
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 11:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.17%E -4.90%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.30%EV -9.65%E -5.19%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -13.58%E -3.94%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-09 03:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 11:29
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -10.14%E -5.48%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-07 11:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.84%EV -10.62%E -5.77%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -16.09%E -4.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.89%EV -10.32%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-09 03:09
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 01:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 01:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 01:24
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 01:24
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 01:22
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.08%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -1.06%E -0.268%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -2.40%E -0.649%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 01:30
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -11.11%E -6.07%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.95%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-09 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.27%EV -11.60%E -6.37%K -14.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -12.33%E -3.52%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.95%E -3.93%K -5.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-09 02:09
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.75%EV -14.02%E -7.92%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -6.36%E -1.79%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-08 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -15.00%E -8.57%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -7.68%E -2.19%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-08 01:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -15.97%E -9.23%K -21.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 01:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 50.62%EV -15.97%E -9.23%K -21.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.38%EV -9.00%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 01:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%5.0%2026-09-09 16:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%5.8%2026-09-09 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%5.8%2026-09-09 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%5.8%2026-09-09 17:15