La scuola delle quote

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inizio: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Finale: Shenzhen Peng City FC 3–4 Yunnan Yukun

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Casa)

Previsione 37.70%2.65quota equa
EV -1.98%
Vantaggio -0.763%
Kelly -1.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.42%37.65%37.66%39.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.462.452.6044.44%40.60%40.82%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yunnan Yukun (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.58%2.73quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.20%36.54%36.66%37.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.09%40.00%37.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.72%3.89quota equa
EV -1.76%
Vantaggio -0.460%
Kelly -0.623%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.82

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.53%25.81%25.68%27.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.533.503.8232.26%28.33%28.57%26.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.69%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.16%EV -1.76%E -0.460%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.91%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 04:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:14
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 09:58
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.76%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.56%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 10:04
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.27%E -0.598%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -8.02%E -3.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.75%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.87%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 09:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 04:44
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -11.41%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 04:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 04:44
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00