La escuela de los momios

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 3–4 Yunnan Yukun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Predicción 37.70%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.763%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.42%37.65%37.66%39.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.452.6044.44%40.60%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 36.58%2.73momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.20%36.54%36.66%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.09%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.72%3.89momio equitativo
EV -1.76%
Ventaja -0.460%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.81%25.68%27.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.503.8232.26%28.33%28.57%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.69%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.16%EV -1.76%E -0.460%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.91%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 04:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:14
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 09:58
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.76%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.56%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 10:04
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.27%E -0.598%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -8.02%E -3.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.75%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.87%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 09:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 04:44
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -11.41%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 04:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 04:44
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00