مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Yunnan Yukun

البداية: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shenzhen Peng City FC 3–4 Yunnan Yukun

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.70%2.65السعر العادل
EV -1.98%
الأفضلية -0.763%
Kelly -1.24%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.42%37.65%37.66%39.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.462.452.6044.44%40.60%40.82%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Yunnan Yukun (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.58%2.73السعر العادل
EV -3.05%
الأفضلية -1.15%
Kelly -1.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.20%36.54%36.66%37.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.09%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.72%3.89السعر العادل
EV -1.76%
الأفضلية -0.460%
Kelly -0.623%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.82

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.53%25.81%25.68%27.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.533.503.8232.26%28.33%28.57%26.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:05
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Pinnacle2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.69%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.16%EV -1.76%E -0.460%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.91%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 09:19
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 04:44
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:14
Bovada2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 09:58
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.76%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:45
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.56%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 10:04
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.27%E -0.598%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Marathon Bet2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -8.02%E -3.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.75%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.87%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:05
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 09:44
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 04:44
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -11.41%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 04:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 04:44
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-12 11:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00