Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Score final : Shenzhen Peng City FC 3–4 Yunnan Yukun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prévision 37.70%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.763%
Kelly -1.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.42%37.65%37.66%39.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.452.6044.44%40.60%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.58%2.73cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.20%36.54%36.66%37.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.09%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.460%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.81%25.68%27.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.503.8232.26%28.33%28.57%26.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local) : 37.70% ; Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur) : 36.58% ; Match nul : 25.72%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.89. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.82, pour une espérance de -1.76% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:04
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.42%EV -1.98%E -0.763%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 10:05
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.86%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -6.90%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-12 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -11.10%E -4.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.97%EV -12.93%E -5.43%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 10:05
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.69%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.16%EV -1.76%E -0.460%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-12 11:00
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.91%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.75%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.34%EV -3.04%E -0.807%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 11:00
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 04:44
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.75%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-12 10:14
Bovada🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.61%E -2.18%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 09:58
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -6.51%E -2.62%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.76%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 04:45
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.56%E -0.949%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 10:04
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.27%E -0.598%K -0.811%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 04:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.95%EV -8.02%E -3.29%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.75%EV -7.81%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.30%EV -5.87%E -1.60%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.63%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.72%EV -9.27%E -3.74%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 11:00
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 10:05
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.72%EV -4.15%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 10:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -4.88%E -1.88%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.84%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 10:05
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.71%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 09:44
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 09:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 04:44
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.52%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.70%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.56%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -11.41%E -4.85%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 04:44
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.54%E -3.42%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.42%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-12 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -13.29%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -10.37%E -4.23%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.27%E -3.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-12 04:44
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -15.86%E -6.89%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -9.99%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.55%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.20%EV -12.20%E -5.08%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.25%EV -20.27%E -6.54%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.11%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.21%1.7%2026-04-12 11:00
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-12 11:00