Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.44
assuming max odds 2.08
assuming max odds 3.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 28.67%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 46.16%; Draw: 25.17%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.44, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.20%EV -1.38%E -0.400%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.82%EV -5.10%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.91%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -3.10%E -0.916%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.72%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -2.33%E -0.601%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -6.30%E -3.10%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 11:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.84%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -10.91%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -16.93%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -16.93%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.76%E -6.75%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.76%E -6.75%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-28 11:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.29% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 26.23% | -1.0% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 11:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |