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Shenzhen Peng City FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Predicción 28.67%3.49momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.17%28.65%28.62%29.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.233.243.4433.33%31.00%30.86%29.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)
Predicción 46.16%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -3.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.82%46.21%46.23%47.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.891.992.002.0852.91%50.15%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.17%3.97momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -0.810%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%25.15%25.15%27.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.603.8830.30%27.57%27.78%25.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 28.67%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante): 46.16%; Empate: 25.17%. Para Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.49. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.44, con un valor esperado de -1.38%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.20%EV -1.38%E -0.400%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.82%EV -5.10%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.91%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -3.10%E -0.916%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.72%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -2.33%E -0.601%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -6.30%E -3.10%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 11:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.84%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -10.91%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -16.93%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -16.93%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.76%E -6.75%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.76%E -6.75%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-28 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.29% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 26.23% | -1.0% | 2026-08-28 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 11:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 11:50 |