Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Início: 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 0–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Previsão 28.67%3.49odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.400%
Kelly -0.564%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.17%28.65%28.62%29.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.233.243.4433.33%31.00%30.86%29.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)

Previsão 46.16%2.17odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -1.92%
Kelly -3.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.82%46.21%46.23%47.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.992.002.0852.91%50.15%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.17%3.97odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -0.601%
Kelly -0.810%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.46%25.15%25.15%27.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.633.603.8830.30%27.57%27.78%25.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 28.67%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante): 46.16%; Empate: 25.17%. Para Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.49. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.44, com valor esperado de -1.38%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.20%EV -1.38%E -0.400%K -0.564%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.82%EV -5.10%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -2.52%E -0.742%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -10.91%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 11:30
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -3.10%E -0.916%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.72%EV -4.91%E -2.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.81%EV -2.33%E -0.601%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 11:45
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:10
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 11:10
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.37%EV -6.30%E -3.10%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 11:30
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 04:24
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 04:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 04:24
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 04:24
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 04:24
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 04:24
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 11:50
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -5.39%E -1.63%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 11:33
LowVig.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -3.99%E -1.92%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 11:49
GTbets🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.20%EV -5.84%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-28 10:55
SportsBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.38%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 11:30
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:40
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -6.82%E -2.10%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 11:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 28.61%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 11:34
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.35%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 11:30
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:30
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:35
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:35
Bet Right🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -8.61%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -8.12%E -2.23%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 11:30
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.90%E -3.40%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:10
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.58%EV -10.91%E -5.66%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.32%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-27 04:24
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -16.93%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -8.26%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -16.93%E -5.13%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 11:30
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 10:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 10:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -9.69%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.50%EV -11.38%E -5.93%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.15%EV -10.64%E -3.00%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-27 04:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.86%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.76%E -6.75%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-27 04:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -11.12%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 46.35%EV -12.76%E -6.75%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -13.16%E -3.81%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-27 04:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 10:50
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -13.99%E -4.66%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -11.84%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.38%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-28 11:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 28.29%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.23%-1.0%2026-08-28 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-28 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-28 11:56
Matchbook◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-28 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.63%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.72%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-08-28 11:50