Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Dalian Yingbo

Kickoff: 2026-05-19 11:35 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 1–1 Dalian Yingbo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prediction 37.01%2.70fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.581%
Kelly -0.931%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.19%36.98%36.94%38.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6643.48%40.23%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dalian Yingbo (Visit)

Prediction 35.07%2.85fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.88%35.07%35.11%36.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.642.622.8042.02%37.95%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.92%3.58fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -0.914%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.92%27.95%27.95%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.53%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 37.01%; Dalian Yingbo (Visit): 35.07%; Draw: 27.92%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.66, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23%EV -1.55%E -0.581%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.51%E -0.902%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.11%EV -7.59%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.03%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -3.91%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 11:30
Bovada🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.51%EV -4.61%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:28
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.51%EV -4.61%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -1.81%E -0.645%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:30
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:20
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.97%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.31%EV -6.37%E -2.38%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 10:48
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 11:29
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 11:30
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -5.99%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.653%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 10:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 10:40
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.57%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.19%EV -7.84%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -3.96%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.02%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:39
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.02%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 10:40
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 09:50
LeoVegas🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 10:40
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -16.54%E -6.95%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -19.60%E -6.80%K -10.42%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 09:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 09:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -15.83%E -6.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-19 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.57%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-19 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-19 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-05-19 11:30